Preston North End vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Preston North End - Burnley
Result
3:0
01/03/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
Preston North End - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.48
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1721
Offsides
41
Fouls
2117
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1519
Touches in the Opposition Box
2113
Passes
71% (205/290)78% (287/369)
Passes in the final third
55% (53/97)57% (47/82)
Crosses
8% (1/12)9% (1/11)
Tackles
70% (14/20)90% (9/10)
Clearances Total
3034
Interceptions
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', Thordarson S. T. 🟨,
  • 30', Lucas Pires 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Brady R. ,
  • 35', Kesler-Hayden K. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Osmajic M. , Potts B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Shelvey J. , Laurent J. ,
  • 58', Koleosho L. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 58', Manuel Hedilazio B. , Barnes A. ,
  • 67', Ledson R. 🟨,
  • 67', Foster L. , Edwards M. ,
  • 68', Sarmiento J. , Banel J. ,
  • 71', Brady R. , Hughes A. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Keane W. , Hughes A. (A),
  • 77', Keane W. , Riis E. ,
  • 84', Ledson R. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 84', Osmajic M. , Evans C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Preston North End
31.1%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 29.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 30% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston North End's performance.
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Preston North End - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.97)
    3.11
    (3.22)
    2.5
    (2.07)
    4.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Preston North End - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.
    • Recent matches Preston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burnley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Burnley will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Preston: Holmes D. (Broken Leg) Storey J. (Leg Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury) Whiteman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Preston won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Burnley were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Preston North End - Burnley 0:0
    05.10.2024 Burnley - Preston North End 0:0
    11.02.2023 Burnley - Preston North End 3:0
    13.09.2022 Preston North End - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Burnley
    12.02.2025 Burnley - Hull City 2:0
    08.02.2025 Southampton - Burnley 0:1
    04.02.2025 Burnley - Oxford United 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    2ByeChester
    3Curzon AshtonBye
    4Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    5AFC FyldeBye
    6WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    7SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    8ByeDarlington
    9Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    10West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    11HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    12ByeScarborough
    13West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    14ByeSpennymoor
    15Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    16Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    17MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    18WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    19RadcliffeBye
    20ByeSouthport
    21MacclesfieldBye
    22Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    23AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    24TraffordStockton2 : 1
    25KendalDunston0 : 1
    26Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    27CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    28RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    29South ShieldsBye
    30Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    31WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    32ByeChorley
    33Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    34ByeMarine
    35BuxtonBye
    36RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    37HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    38LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    39MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    40Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    41CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    42KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    43WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    44MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    45Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    46ByeEnfield Town
    47QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    48Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    49Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    50EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    51HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    52WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    53BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    54NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    55Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    56Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    57HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    58March TownGorleston1 : 3
    59Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    60StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    61HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    62ByeWorksop
    63Peterborough SportsBye
    64ByeHornchurch
    65AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    66ByeLeamington
    67ChelmsfordBye
    68Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    69IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    70ByeAlfreton
    71BedfordBye
    72ByeDag & Red
    73ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    74HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    75BillericayBarton4 : 1
    76BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    77RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    78BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81AFC TelfordBye
    82ByeKidderminster
    83KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    84EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    85Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    86HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    87SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    88AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    89Hemel HempsteadBye
    90Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    91Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    92ByeHereford
    93Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    94Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    95BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    96StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    97Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    98ByeBath
    99Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    100ByeWorthing
    101WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    102Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    103Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    104SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    105EbbsfleetBye
    106Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    107MaidenheadBye
    108FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    109Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    110Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    111HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    112TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    113ChertseyThame2 : 1
    114RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    115Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    116ByeTonbridge
    117Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    118Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    119UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    120ByeSlough
    121Merthyr TownBye
    122Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    123Hampton & RichmondBye
    124SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    125WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    126FairfordSholing0 : 2
    127Eastbourne BoroBye
    128EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    129WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    130ByeHorsham FC
    131FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    132ByeMaidstone
    133SalisburyBye
    134Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    135DorkingBye
    136CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    137Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    138ByeOxford City
    139FarnboroughBye
    140ByeDover
    141GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    142DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    143TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    144ByeWeston-super-Mare
    145AFC TottonBye
    146ByeTorquay
    147Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    148Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4
    149Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    150FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    151BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    152TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    153Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    154Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    155GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    156ByeChippenham
    157Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    158ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    159DealCobham2 : 0
    160BeckenhamEgham2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    2Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    3AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    4BootleDarlington1 : 3
    5Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    6Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    7West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    8FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    9MorpethWitton2 : 1
    10RadcliffeSouthport2 : 3, 1 : 1
    11MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    12NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    13DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    14GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    15South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    16CongletonChorley0 : 1
    17Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    18BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    19HydeWhitby2 : 0
    20MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    21LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    22ChasetownBanbury1 : 2, 0 : 0
    23Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    24QuornKettering2 : 1
    25Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    26Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 2, 0 : 0
    27Bury TownWoodford Town0 : 1, 1 : 1
    28HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    29Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    30Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    31HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    32Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    33AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    34ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    35Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    36BedfordDag & Red0 : 1, 1 : 1
    37ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    38BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    39RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    42Racing Club WarwickEvesham0 : 1, 3 : 3
    43Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 6, 1 : 1
    44SudburyAveley1 : 2
    45Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    46Sporting KhalsaHereford
    47Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    48ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    49WimborneBath2 : 1
    50Jersey BullsWorthing0 : 5, 2 : 2
    51Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    52BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    53EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    54MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    55Whitstable TownChichester1 : 0, 1 : 1
    56HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    57ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    58Steyning TownTonbridge1 : 6, 2 : 2
    59Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    60WellingSlough0 : 1, 1 : 1
    61Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    62Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    63FarehamSholing0 : 3
    64Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    65WestfieldHorsham FC0 : 6, 2 : 2
    66FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    67SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    68DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    69Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    70FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    71GosportPoole0 : 3
    72TauntonWeston-super-Mare0 : 3, 1 : 1
    73AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    74Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 2, 1 : 1
    75Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    76BracknellTadley2 : 0
    77WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    78GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    79Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    80DealEgham2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChesterCurzon Ashton
    2AFC FyldeDarlington
    3Runcorn LinnetsAshton Utd
    4SpennymoorChadderton
    5MorpethSouthport
    6MacclesfieldNantwich
    7DunstonGainsborough
    8South ShieldsChorley
    9MarineBuxton
    10HydeMatlock
    11LeistonBanbury
    12Enfield TownQuorn
    13Needham MarketWitham
    14Woodford TownSt. Albans
    15Waltham AbbeyMaldon & Tiptree
    16HarboroughPeterborough Sports
    17AlvechurchChelmsford
    18Spalding UnitedDag & Red
    19HednesfordBillericay
    20RoystonKingu2019s Lynn
    21AFC TelfordEvesham
    22HalesowenAveley
    23Hemel HempsteadTBD #46
    24Sutton ColdfieldStamford
    25WimborneWorthing
    26FarnhamDorchester
    27EbbsfleetFaversham
    28Whitstable TownHungerford
    29Cray ValleyTonbridge
    30Bedfont SportsSlough
    31Merthyr TownHampton & Richmond
    32SholingEastbourne Boro
    33Horsham FCFolkestone
    34SalisburyDorking
    35Westbury UnitedFarnborough
    36PooleWeston-super-Mare
    37AFC TottonFrome
    38FlackwellBracknell
    39Walton & HershamChippenham
    40ChathamDeal
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