Barnsley vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Barnsley - Port Vale
Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Barnsley - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.402.10
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
08
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (467/569)66% (174/262)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.402.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.23
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
116
Passes
82% (467/569)66% (174/262)
Long passes
38% (31/81)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
72% (121/169)45% (35/78)
Crosses
18% (4/22)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.26
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
611
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5256
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
3.230.00
Goals prevented
1.230.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Shipley J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', Bland J. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Lawrence-Gabriel J. , Brown D. (A),
  • 66', Vickers C. , Farrugia N. ,
  • 67', Keillor-Dunn D. , Cleary R. ,
  • 71', Brown D. , Hall G. ,
  • 71', Shipley J. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 78', Bland J. , Russell J. ,
  • 81', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 84', Lawrence-Gabriel J. , Heneghan B. ,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Croasdale R. ,
  • 90+2', Cole D. , Curtis R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
44.3%
Draw
26.7%
Port Vale
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.2% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Barnsley - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.02)
    3.53
    (3.63)
    3.26
    (3.43)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Barnsley could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Kelly P. (Foot Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Kyle John (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Gordon L. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Port Vale were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Port Vale - Barnsley 1:3
    26.12.2023 Port Vale - Barnsley 2:3
    05.08.2023 Barnsley - Port Vale 7:0
    14.02.2023 Port Vale - Barnsley 1:3
    23.11.2022 Port Vale - Barnsley 2:1
    Latest results of Barnsley
    20.09.2025 Blackpool - Barnsley 1:0
    13.09.2025 Barnsley - Reading 3:2
    06.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Barnsley Postponed
    Latest results of Port Vale
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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