Yuta Shimizu vs Sho Shimabukuro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP US Open Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro
Result
2:1
19/08/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals
Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
58%53%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (41/60)69% (36/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (24/44)48% (22/46)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/52)37% (22/60)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (24/46)45% (20/44)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
63% (65/104)59% (58/98)
Return Points Won
41% (40/98)38% (39/104)
Total Points Won
52% (105/202)48% (97/202)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Yuta Shimizu
42.2%
Sho Shimabukuro
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.25)

    1.63
    (1.57)
    6.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimizu is ranked ATP: 209. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 201.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu 0:2
    12.03.2024 Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro 2:0
    07.09.2022 Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu 2:1
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    17.07.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu Shimizu Y. walkover
    15.07.2025 Tung-Lin Wu - Yuta Shimizu 1:2
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.3 : 0
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.3 : 0
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.3 : 0
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)0 : 3
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.3 : 0
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)2 : 3
    7Borges N.Holt B.3 : 0
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)0 : 3
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.3 : 1
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.1 : 3
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.3 : 2
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)2 : 3
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.3 : 1
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)3 : 1
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.3 : 0
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)1 : 3
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.3 : 0
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.1 : 3
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.2 : 3
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)0 : 3
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.1 : 3
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)0 : 3
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)0 : 3
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)0 : 3
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)3 : 1
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.1 : 3
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.3 : 0
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)2 : 3
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.3 : 1
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.3 : 2
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)0 : 3
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)0 : 3
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.3 : 0
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)3 : 0
    35Norrie C.Korda S. (RET.)2 : 0
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)3 : 1
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.3 : 0
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)3 : 0
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.3 : 1
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)0 : 3
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.3 : 0
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.3 : 1
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.3 : 0
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)3 : 2
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.3 : 1
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)0 : 3
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)0 : 3
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)3 : 0
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)3 : 0
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.3 : 1
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)3 : 0
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.3 : 1
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 3
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.0 : 3
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)0 : 3
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.2 : 3
    58Navone M.Giron M.2 : 3
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.1 : 3
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.3 : 0
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 3
    63Bellucci M.Shang J. (RET.)2 : 1
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Popyrin A.3 : 0
    2Royer V.Shapovalov D. (27)1 : 3
    3Bublik A. (23)Schoolkate T.3 : 0
    4Borges N.Paul T. (14)2 : 3
    5Musetti L. (10)Goffin D.3 : 0
    6Brooksby J.Cobolli F. (24)2 : 3
    7Diallo G. (31)Munar J.0 : 3
    8Bergs Z. (WO.)Draper J. (5)
    9Zverev A. (3)Fearnley J.3 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Auger-Aliassime F. (25)0 : 3
    11Walton A.Wong C.1 : 3
    12Boyer T.Rublev A. (15)1 : 3
    13Khachanov K. (9)Majchrzak K.2 : 3
    14Riedi L.Cerundolo F. (19)3 : 2
    15Tsitsipas S. (26)Altmaier D.2 : 3
    16Mochizuki S.De Minaur A. (8)0 : 3
    17Djokovic N. (7)Svajda Z.3 : 1
    18Norrie C.Comesana F.3 : 1
    19Tiafoe F. (17)Damm M.3 : 1
    20Struff J-L.Rune H. (11)3 : 2
    21Mensik J. (16)Blanchet U.2 : 3
    22Fonseca J.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    23Nakashima B. (30)Kym J.2 : 3
    24Harris L.Fritz T. (4)1 : 3
    25Shelton B. (6)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 0
    26Thompson J.Mannarino A.1 : 3
    27Lehecka J. (20)Etcheverry T. M.3 : 1
    28Collignon R.Ruud C. (12)3 : 2
    29Bonzi B.Giron M.3 : 2
    30Rinderknech A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)3 : 2
    31Darderi L. (32)Spizzirri E.3 : 1
    32Bellucci M.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Shapovalov D. (27)
    2Bublik A. (23)Paul T. (14)
    3Musetti L. (10)Cobolli F. (24)
    4Munar J.Bergs Z.
    5Zverev A. (3)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
    6Wong C.Rublev A. (15)
    7Majchrzak K.Riedi L.
    8Altmaier D.De Minaur A. (8)
    9Djokovic N. (7)Norrie C.
    10Tiafoe F. (17)Struff J-L.
    11Blanchet U.Machac T. (21)
    12Kym J.Fritz T. (4)
    13Shelton B. (6)Mannarino A.
    14Lehecka J. (20)Collignon R.
    15Bonzi B.Rinderknech A.
    16Darderi L. (32)Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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