Result
0:1
17/07/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 4
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Chances of winning
Deportivo Municipal
23% | Draw
26.8% | FBC Melgar
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Municipal's performance.FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Municipal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↓
(6.3) |
3.43 ↓
(4.55) |
1.84 ↑
(1.44) |
8.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1.
- Recent matches Municipal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melgar is a favorite.
- Last 22 head-to-head matches Municipal won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27-32.
- Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Municipal won against FBC Melgar?
Deportivo Municipal has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportivo Municipal?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar were as follows:
13.02.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Municipal
0:2
11.09.2022
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Municipal
6:2
Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
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