Bačka Topola vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Bačka Topola - Lugano
Result
4:1
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
Bačka Topola - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.86
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1322
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
38
Throw-ins
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
2213
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
361467
Completed Passes
277383
Crosses Completed
54
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Radin M. 🟨,
  • 57', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
  • 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Pantovic M. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Belhadj M. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Stanic P. , Stevanovic D. (A),
  • 64', Marques M. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 64', Dos Santos D. , Bislimi U. ,
  • 64', Belhadj M. , Bottani M. ,
  • 70', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 71', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
  • 72', Djakovac I. , Pejic A. ,
  • 74', Mahou H. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 83', Banjac M. , Sos B. ,
  • 83', Grgic A. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Pantovic M. , Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 89', Sos B. 🟨,
  • 89', Bottani M. 🟥,
  • 90', Pantovic M. , Mboungou V. ,

Chances of winning


Bačka Topola
18.6%
Draw
22.6%
Lugano
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bačka Topola - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.06
    (3.45)
    4.15
    (3.55)
    1.59
    (1.95)
    6.7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.63%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugano is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bačka Topola
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.11.2024 Lugano - Yverdon 2:0
    31.10.2024 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1
    27.10.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 2:0
    24.10.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Lugano 0:1
    20.10.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 2:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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