Alianza Atlético vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma
Result
2:0
04/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.09
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
65% (113/174)83% (332/401)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.24
Total shots
711
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
65% (113/174)83% (332/401)
Long passes
36% (18/50)57% (40/70)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)66% (80/121)
Crosses
13% (2/16)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.89
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
108
Tackles
68% (13/19)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4330
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.241.03
Goals prevented
0.24-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Lupu H. 🟨,
  • 12', Illanes F. 🟥,
  • 22', Cabello C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
  • 52', Bersano F. 🟨,
  • 62', Cedron V. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽,
  • 67', Graneros A. 🟨,
  • 72', Olmedo L. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
  • 73', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
  • 87', Perleche E. ↓, Guzman P. ↑,
  • 90+2', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
44%		Draw
29.7%		ADT Tarma
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 29.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 28.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.14 ↓
    (2.32)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.2)    		 3.54 ↑
    (3.1)    		 7.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • In recent matches, Alianza Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ADT is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alianza Atlético could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R. (Muscle Injury) Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    28.09.2024 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 0:1
    28.04.2024 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:2
    24.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    06.05.2023 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:1
    10.09.2022 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 2:2
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    26.04.2025 Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético 0:2
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    12.04.2025 Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    28.03.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:4 ✺
    08.03.2025 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional 1:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima 3:0 ✺
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1492330:121829
    2Alianza Atl1491423:121128
    3FBC Melgar1484224:15928
    4Alianza Lima1483316:10627
    5Sport Huancayo1482420:15526
    6Sporting Cristal1481525:19625
    7Cusco1473425:18724
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1572626:17923
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1446423:19418
    11Grau1346319:18118
    12Sport Boys1444621:23-216
    13Los Chankas1436518:22-415
    14Juan Pablo II1342716:20-414
    15Binacional1435616:24-814
    16Cajamarca1442814:31-1714
    17Ayacucho1423910:23-139
    18Comerciantes Unidos1315714:26-128
    19Alianza Huanuco1415812:26-148

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