Result
18/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
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Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
20% | Draw
27.3% | CD Marathón
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.54 ↑
(4.06) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
1.73 ↓
(1.85) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2.
- Recent performances by Lobos UPNFM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against CD Marathón?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Lobos UPNFM?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:0
01.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
26.10.2024
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:2
17.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
2:0
09.03.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olancho | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Motagua | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 6 | Platense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón?
It is being streamed on channel
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 Honduras | Deportes TV |
