Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Saint-Gilloise - Genk
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 7
  • Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
Saint-Gilloise - Genk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.74
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (283/368)77% (318/412)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.10
Total shots
113
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
77% (283/368)77% (318/412)
Long passes
46% (24/52)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
69% (92/133)58% (81/140)
Crosses
38% (5/13)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.58
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
1716
Tackles
65% (11/17)57% (16/28)
Duels won
5363
Clearances
4017
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.101.46
Goals prevented
0.100.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', David P. (Pen),
  • 41', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 43', Bangoura I. 🟨,
  • 45+1', David P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Bangoura I. 🟨,
  • 56', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
  • 60', Van De Perre K. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
  • 60', Niang O. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
  • 66', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Burgess C. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
  • 71', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 73', Fink T. 🟨,
  • 82', David P. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
  • 87', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
  • 87', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
  • 87', Steuckers J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
  • 90+2', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
  • 90+5', Heynen B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
49.8%		Draw
25.7%		Genk
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 25.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.3% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Saint-Gilloise - Genk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↓
    (1.97)    		 3.7 ↓
    (3.76)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.64)    		 5.4%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Genk?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Genk will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 60.6% – 97.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Genk (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3.
    • Union SG is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Genk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Union SG is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Genk were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    15.03.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 2:1
    10.11.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 4:0
    26.05.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:0
    01.04.2024 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:0
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    27.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 0:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Gent - Saint-Gilloise 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Genk
    27.04.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 0:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp - Genk 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 1:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:2 ✺
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antwerp00000:000
    2Leuven00000:000
    3Anderlecht00000:000
    4Cercle Brugge KSV00000:000
    5Charleroi00000:000
    6Club Brugge KV00000:000
    7Dender00000:000
    8Genk00000:000
    9Gent00000:000
    10KV Mechelen00000:000
    11St. Liege00000:000
    12St. Truiden00000:000
    13Waregem00000:000
    14Westerlo00000:000
    15Royale Union SG00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere00000:000

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Saint-Gilloise - Genk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3
    romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
    spainSpainGolStadium
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    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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