Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Segunda Division Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz
11/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Uruguay Montevideo
29.3%
Draw
30.8%
La Luz
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.7% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 26.5% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Luz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.5)
    2.95
    (3.03)
    2.28
    (2.61)
    9.8%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 1.
    • Uruguay Montevideo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • La Luz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that La Luz will win today's game, with odds of 2.61.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz were as follows:
    19.07.2025 La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo 1:0
    19.10.2024 Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz 1:0
    10.07.2024 La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo 1:0
    16.03.2024 La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo 1:0
    03.09.2022 Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz 1:2
    Latest results of Uruguay Montevideo
    Latest results of La Luz
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion23144529:141546
    2Colon23118429:151441
    3Central Esp23109426:151139
    4Maldonado23106729:181136
    5Rentistas23106730:24636
    6Atenas23105825:21435
    7Fenix2397725:24134
    8Tacuarembo2389624:21333
    9Oriental2387826:25131
    10Rampla Juniors23751122:26-426
    11La Luz2359924:34-1024
    12Cerrito23581018:31-1323
    13Artigas233101025:34-919
    14Uruguay Montevideo23331713:43-3012

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