Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Louisville City
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
Sacramento Republic - Louisville City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.75
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
74% (252/341)71% (253/356)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.94
Total shots
89
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2211
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
149
Passes
74% (252/341)71% (253/356)
Long passes
28% (19/68)35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
64% (80/125)54% (63/116)
Crosses
6% (1/17)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.90
Fouls
914
Tackles
87% (13/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5141
Clearances Total
4030
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.940.48
Goals prevented
-0.06-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Timmer J. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 46', Wanner D. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 66', Jamieson L. , Herrera J. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Parano C. ,
  • 70', McFadden A. , Dia A. ,
  • 70', Goodrum P. , Gleadle S. ,
  • 74', Davila E. , McCabe N. ,
  • 75', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,
  • 81', Parano C. , Lopez R. ,
  • 84', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 86', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 90', Ordonez A. , Jones J. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Dia A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
31.5%
Draw
28.6%
Louisville City
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 27.1% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Republic's form might have worsened.
  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sacramento Republic - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.41)
    3.21
    (3.41)
    2.3
    (2.67)
    8.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Sacramento Republic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Louisville City were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Louisville City - Sacramento Republic 4:3
    01.04.2023 Sacramento Republic - Louisville City 5:0
    03.09.2022 Louisville City - Sacramento Republic 3:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sacramento Republic - Louisville City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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    worldWorldDisney+
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