Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/275) | 83% (420/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/275) | 83% (420/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (46/78) | 70% (124/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 24', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 40', Mwene P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 45+2', Nsoki S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Nebel P. 🟨,
- 66', Veratschnig N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 67', Toure B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
- 74', Bulter M. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
- 75', Bischof T. 🟨,
- 82', Kohr D. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 85', Tabakovic H. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
- 85', Kramaric A. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
- 90+3', Baumann O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nebel P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
35.8% | Draw
27.6% | Mainz
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Hoffenheim - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.9) |
3.48 ↓
(3.52) |
2.62 ↑
(2.43) |
4.2%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Mainz will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 14.4% – 52.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Knee Injury)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Ostigard L.
(Red Card)
Prass A.
(Ankle Injury)
Promel G.
(Knee Injury)
Samassekou D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N.
(Yellow Cards)
Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Moerstedt M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 34:41 (average 1.7:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:18 (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Mainz?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Hoffenheim?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Mainz were as follows:
01.12.2024
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
2:0
13.04.2024
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
4:1
26.11.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Mainz
1:1
04.03.2023
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
1:0
14.01.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Mainz
2:2
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Mainz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 6 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 4 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
