RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	3.11
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
15	25
Shots on Goal
5	9
Shots off Goal
5	9
Blocked Shots
5	7
Big Chances
4	8
Corner Kicks
3	12
Shots inside the Box
9	20
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	3
Goalkeeper Saves
9	3
Free Kicks
10	14
Offsides
3	1
Fouls
14	10
Yellow Cards
3	3
Throw-ins
11	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
36	61
Passes
69% (208/300)	83% (492/591)
Passes in the final third
59% (62/105)	75% (162/217)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	29% (11/38)
Tackles
68% (13/19)	55% (6/11)
Clearances Total
50	23
Interceptions
11	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Can E. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Sesko B. (A),
33', Sabitzer M. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
45+1', Ryerson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Openda L. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
61', Baumgartner C. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
63', Raum D. 🟨,
67', Openda L. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
72', Ryerson J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
72', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
81', Raum D. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
81', Seiwald N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
82', Simons X. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
83', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
86', Haidara A. 🟨,
87', Lukeba C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
35.8%

Draw
26.7%

Borussia Dortmund
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.52)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)	3.8% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia D is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Thigh Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Lotka M. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Svensson D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Poulsen Y. (Muscle Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 33:33 (average 1.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Borussia Dortmund?

RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against RB Leipzig?

Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:

02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1

27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1

09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3

05.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0

03.03.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1

Latest results of RB Leipzig

08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 0:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

Draw

Relegation

Final

1

Heidenheim

Elversberg

2 : 1, 2 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia