Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga
Result
3:4
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.34
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
75% (284/379)72% (213/296)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.30
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2616
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
75% (284/379)72% (213/296)
Long passes
45% (34/75)30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
64% (103/162)60% (52/87)
Crosses
38% (9/24)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.431.03
Fouls
1119
Tackles
56% (5/9)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5847
Clearances Total
2338
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.301.74
Goals prevented
-2.70-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Hara T. 🟨,
  • 16', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 20', Appiah Tawiah H. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Leo Ceara , Ueda N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Appiah Tawiah H. , Miyamoto Y. ,
  • 46', Fukuoka S. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 47', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 57', Sato K. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Okugawa M. ,
  • 64', Matsumura Y. 🟨,
  • 65', Shibasaki G. , Misao K. ,
  • 65', Matsumura Y. , Morooka S. ,
  • 65', Araki R. , Koike R. ,
  • 70', Okugawa M. , Marco Tulio ,
  • 78', Hirato T. , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 82', 2 - 3, Rafael Elias , Sugai H. (A),
  • 82', Suzuki Y. , Tagawa K. ,
  • 85', Higuchi Y. , Kim Tae-Hyeon ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Morooka S. , Anzai K. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 4, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 90+10', Ota G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
43.4%
Draw
28.2%
Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.7% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.7% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)
    3.33
    (3.27)
    3.33
    (3.46)
    6.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Kashima will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Inactive) Tokuda H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashima: Cavric A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio (Injury) Patrick William (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Kashima won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 0:0
    13.04.2024 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    01.07.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    18.02.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 0:2
    10.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 1:1
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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