Ilves vs Red Bull Salzburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Champions League Ice Hockey Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg
Result
2:1
04/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Round 3
  • Referee: Vikman K. (Fin)
Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.21
Shots on Goal
2021
Shooting PCT
10% (2/20)4.76% (1/21)
Blocked Shots
158
Goalkeeper Saves
2018
Saves PCT
95.24% (20/21)90% (18/20)
Penalties
55
PIM
1010
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (5/5)
Hits
24
Faceoffs Won
3816
Faceoffs %
70.3729.63
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 00:37, Corcoran C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 06:01, Teuho-Markkola T. (2 min),
  • 08:43, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A),
  • 15:23, 1 - 1, Stephens D. (G), Eliseev M. (A), Auer L. C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:37, 2 - 1, Ratinen S. (G), Looke J. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
  • 09:37, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Kucerik R. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Pelli A. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Looke J. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Raffl T. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Lewington T. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Stephens D. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Auer L. C. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Ilves
59.3%
Draw
18.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 18.2% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 18.3% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.45)
    4.98
    (5.11)
    4.23
    (5.29)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Bull Salzburg: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Red Bull Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Red Bull Salzburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
    11.09.2022 Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg 1:2
    03.09.2022 Red Bull Salzburg - Ilves 2:3
    Latest results of Ilves
    30.08.2025 Belfast Giants - Ilves 4:7
    28.08.2025 ERC Ingolstadt - Ilves 1:3
    22.08.2025 Ilves - TPS 3:2
    15.08.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4
    09.08.2025 HIFK - Ilves 3:2
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Champions League Ice Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Ilves ✔ 4400015:6123.00
    2KalPa ✔ 4310016:6112.75
    3Frolunda4300113:792.25
    4Brynas4300112:692.25
    5Zug4210117:1382.00
    6Sparta Prague4210112:882.00
    7Lulea4202010:982.00
    8Lukko4201115:1071.75
    9Kometa Brno4201117:1471.75
    10Zurich4201110:771.75
    11Bern4201111:1071.75
    12ERC Ingolstadt4200212:1161.50
    13Salzburg420029:861.50
    14Klagenfurt4200212:1361.50
    15Mountfield HK4111110:1161.50
    16Grenoble4110214:1651.25
    17Bolzano4110210:1551.25
    18Eisbaren Berlin4101211:1441.00
    19Bremerhaven4020213:1541.00
    20Lausanne4100311:1530.75
    21Storhamar410035:1430.75
    22Odense Bulldogs4010311:1820.50
    23Belfast4001312:2310.25
    24Tychy400044:1300.00

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    KalPa is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    swedenSwedenViaplay
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