Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield
Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.11
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
54% (135/252)66% (213/324)
Yellow Cards
71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.78
Total shots
616
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
54% (135/252)66% (213/324)
Long passes
29% (24/84)24% (21/86)
Passes in final third
42% (43/103)58% (89/153)
Crosses
36% (4/11)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.04
Throw-ins
3525
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (12/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
7373
Clearances
3447
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.780.36
Goals prevented
-0.220.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Broom R. 🟨,
  • 25', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 37', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 41', Archer E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Gordon L. ,
  • 51', Angol L. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 51', Broom R. , Thomas J. ,
  • 52', Bonis L. 🟨,
  • 62', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
  • 64', Kinsella L. , Tustin H. ,
  • 65', Bennett S. , Harmon G. ,
  • 67', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Duffy D. ,
  • 72', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 72', Duffy D. , Darcy R. ,
  • 80', Mazionis J. 🟨,
  • 86', Dobra A. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 86', Naylor T. , Dibley-Dias M. ,
  • 90+2', Markanday D. , Lewis A. ,
  • 90+2', Jude-Boyd A. , Power D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
25.6%
Draw
26.3%
Chesterfield
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 26.5% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 26.7% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.25)
    3.56
    (3.54)
    1.94
    (2.11)
    6.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
    • Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Tanton D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield 1:0
    21.09.2024 Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town 1:1
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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