Wairarapa Bush vs Poverty Bay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Heartland Championships Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay
03/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Heartland Championships - Round 8
Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Wairarapa Bush
54.1%
Draw
4%
Poverty Bay
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 4.2% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 3.9% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wairarapa Bush has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Poverty Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wairarapa Bush than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poverty Bay than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.69)
    22.67
    (22)
    2.19
    (2.21)
    9%
    (9%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Wairarapa Bush will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wairarapa Bush won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 129:112. (average 32.3:28).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wairarapa Bush won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:31.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush 24:39
    Latest results of Wairarapa Bush
    Latest results of Poverty Bay
    26.09.2025 Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury 43:47
    12.09.2025 North Otago - Poverty Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Poverty Bay - Buller 38:3
    Heartland Championships Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant7700321:17935
    2Whanganui7502253:18226
    3North Otago7502272:24326
    4Thames Valley7403297:16724
    5South Cant7403266:21824
    6Wairarapa7403261:20223
    7Poverty Bay7403225:21823
    8Horowhenua7403221:19021
    9King Country7106186:22010
    10Buller7106118:3447
    11West Coast7304234:1924
    12East Coast700798:3971

          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (5th~8th places: Semi~finals)

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