Super Nova vs Metta LU: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Super Nova - Metta LU
Result
1:1
27/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 20
Super Nova - Metta LU - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.14
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
81% (390/482)72% (250/346)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.551.67
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
81% (390/482)72% (250/346)
Long passes
63% (38/60)40% (28/70)
Passes in final third
66% (95/144)56% (45/81)
Crosses
44% (12/27)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.491.38
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1612
Tackles
50% (4/8)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5464
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.671.55
Goals prevented
0.670.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Lauan 🟨,
  • 33', Sula D. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Tihonovics M. ,
  • 62', Ivulans M. , Klavinskis R. ,
  • 62', Saleh S. , Evelons E. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Evelons E. ,
  • 69', Sitjakovs R. , Deruzinskis R. ,
  • 69', Zengis R. , Kante H. ,
  • 73', Kamara S. , Karimu M. ,
  • 80', Minkevics I. , Kamara M. ,
  • 80', Grabovskis K. , Rekis K. ,
  • 87', Augusts K. 🟨,
  • 88', Tihonovics M. , Klavins K. ,
  • 88', Glaudans A. , Stepanovs V. ,

Chances of winning


Super Nova
58.1%
Draw
24.4%
Metta LU
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 24.3% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 20.4% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Super Nova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta LU could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Super Nova - Metta LU Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.64)
    3.74
    (3.75)
    5.23
    (4.48)
    9.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Super Nova - Metta LU?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Super Nova will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
    • Super Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Super Nova is the team to beat.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Metta LU were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Metta LU - Super Nova 0:2
    12.03.2025 Super Nova - Metta LU 4:0
    08.10.2023 Metta LU - Super Nova 0:1
    21.07.2023 Super Nova - Metta LU 1:3
    23.05.2023 Metta LU - Super Nova 4:1
    Latest results of Super Nova
    22.06.2025 Riga - Super Nova 2:0
    17.06.2025 Super Nova - Liepāja 1:3
    14.06.2025 RFS - Super Nova 2:1
    26.05.2025 Grobiņa - Super Nova 1:1
    Latest results of Metta LU
    21.06.2025 Liepāja - Metta LU 1:0
    17.06.2025 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 2:2
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    29.05.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 4:1
    24.05.2025 Metta LU - Riga 0:3
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS20151444:182646
    3FK Liepaja2095633:31232
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2075829:33-426
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina20541120:39-1919
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

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