Sheffield Wednesday vs Grimsby Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town
Result
0:1
16/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.62
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (316/407)77% (296/384)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.34
Total shots
311
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1012
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
78% (316/407)77% (296/384)
Long passes
41% (28/68)38% (30/80)
Passes in final third
58% (52/89)63% (61/97)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.47
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (10/15)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5257
Clearances
2532
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.340.00
Goals prevented
0.340.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', McGhee C. 🟨,
  • 37', Kobacki O. , Otegbayo G. ,
  • 37', Johnson R. , Alao Y. ,
  • 42', Staunton R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Kabia J. , Staunton R. (A),
  • 53', Green K. , Walker J. ,
  • 71', Brown G. , Ugbo I. ,
  • 71', Fusire S. , Bannan B. ,
  • 78', Vernam C. , Burns D. ,
  • 79', Kabia J. , Oduor C. ,
  • 81', Otegbayo G. 🟨,
  • 86', Thornton J. , McNeill C. ,
  • 87', Khouri E. , Eccleston N. ,

Chances of winning


Sheffield Wednesday
21%
Draw
30%
Grimsby Town
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 26.6% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 26.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheffield Wednesday's form might have worsened.
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grimsby Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+25.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6
    (2.05)
    3.95
    (3.55)
    2.43
    (3.47)
    -16.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Grimsby will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sheff Wed (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grimsby (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sheff Wed is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grimsby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sheff Wed may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sheff Wed has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Chalobah N. (Hamstring Injury) Charles P. (Shoulder Injury) Guilherme Siqueira (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Amass H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sheff Wed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    27.08.2024 Grimsby Town - Sheffield Wednesday 1:5
    Latest results of Sheffield Wednesday
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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