Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Washington Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci
Result
2:0
31/07/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
616
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
72%65%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (36/52)67% (30/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (15/20)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/45)31% (16/52)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (13/24)25% (5/20)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)17% (1/6)
Winners
00
Unforced Errors
00
Net Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Max Points In Row
76
Service Points Won
71% (51/72)60% (41/68)
Return Points Won
40% (27/68)29% (21/72)
Total Points Won
56% (78/140)44% (62/140)
Max Games In Row
32
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
58.7%
Mattia Bellucci
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 60. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 125.
    • Recent matches Michelsen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bellucci is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)
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