Result
0:0
04/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : HNL - Round 28
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/488) | 76% (285/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/488) | 76% (285/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (48/74) | 31% (18/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.60 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Kresic A. ↓, Les M. ↑,
- 33', Krizmanic K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Sikosek G. 🟨,
- 57', Dabro M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 57', Poldrugac J. ↓, Mitrovski D. ↑,
- 68', Vuk M. ↓, Alic E. ↑,
- 68', Marina M. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
- 68', Elezi A. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 69', Pajaziti A. ↓, Caic V. ↑,
- 74', Mladenovski M. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
- 74', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 80', Caic V. 🟨,
- 87', Erceg A. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 87', Sikosek G. ↓, Stiglec D. ↑,
- 87', Bralic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
45.6% | Draw
31.3% | Gorica
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Varaždin - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.93) |
2.99 ↓
(3.12) |
4.03 ↓
(4.44) |
7.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 1.
- Recent matches Varaždin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gorica is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Varaždin will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Latkovic A.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:27 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varaždin won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Gorica?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Varaždin?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
25.01.2025
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:1
14.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:2
20.10.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
2:1
03.08.2024
Gorica
-
Varaždin
0:0
30.03.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
2:4
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Which TV channels are streaming of Varaždin - Gorica?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
