Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Crown Legacy - Carolina Core
Result
3:4
04/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy - Carolina Core - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (408/466)78% (214/275)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.31
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
30
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
88% (408/466)78% (214/275)
Long passes
71% (40/56)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
74% (86/117)62% (44/71)
Crosses
22% (6/27)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.37
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1512
Tackles
79% (11/14)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.312.22
Goals prevented
-2.690.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Canete F. ⚽, Juarez J. (A), Alenga M. (A2)
  • 9', 1 - 1, Miller A. (Own goal),
  • 15', Coulibaly B. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Miller A. ⚽, Canete F. (A),
  • 45+1', Miller A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Sing D. ⚽, Romero B. (A),
  • 54', Neeley J. 🟨,
  • 56', Smalls M. 🟨,
  • 61', Miller A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
  • 61', Ibarra J. ↓, Sumo A. ↑,
  • 68', Smalls M. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
  • 68', Goodwin A. ↓, Thiago ↑,
  • 68', Petkovic N. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Sumo A. ⚽,
  • 75', 2 - 4, Evans J. ⚽, Canete F. (A),
  • 82', Pineda T. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
  • 83', Leonardi P. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
  • 83', Coulibaly B. ↓, Tonidandel S. ↑,
  • 83', Neeley J. ↓, Tcheuyap Y. ↑,
  • 88', Covi I. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Thiago (Pen),
  • 90+4', Mendoza A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Thomas M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crown Legacy
42.1%		Draw
26.1%		Carolina Core
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26.4% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Crown Legacy - Carolina Core Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (2.13)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.59)    		 2.9 ↑
    (2.81)    		 8.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Crown Legacy - Carolina Core?
  • Users Predictions: Carolina Core will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 11)
    • Crown Legacy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carolina Core's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Crown Legacy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Crown Legacy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crown Legacy - Carolina Core were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Crown Legacy - Carolina Core 0:1
    26.04.2025 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 1:2
    14.09.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    13.07.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    Latest results of Crown Legacy
    31.08.2025 Orlando City B - Crown Legacy 1:0
    22.08.2025 Crown Legacy - Inter Miami II 6:0
    17.08.2025 Atlanta United II - Crown Legacy 1:0
    11.08.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy 4:3
    02.08.2025 Crown Legacy - Huntsville City 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    24.08.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Carolina Core 2:3
    16.08.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 0:1
    10.08.2025 Huntsville City - Carolina Core 3:2 ✺
    02.08.2025 Carolina Core - New England Revolution II 1:0
    30.07.2025 Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II 3:2 ✺
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

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