Result
1:0
08/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : FNL - Round 9
- Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Alshin I. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 30', Gorbunov I. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Zhuravlev Y. ⚽,
- 53', Kalmykov A. 🟨,
- 57', Bagamaev A. 🟨,
- 58', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
- 67', Yurganov I. 🟨,
- 69', Bagamaev A. 🟨,
- 73', Uridia M. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
- 73', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Djuranovic U. ↑,
- 81', Magomedov B. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 81', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
- 86', Djuranovic U. 🟨,
- 86', Berdnikov A. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
- 86', Tsaraev A. ↓, Sergeev D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fakel
39.6% | Draw
31.7% | Arsenal Tula
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Tula's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fakel - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(1.94) |
3.02 ↓
(3.28) |
3.33 ↓
(4.15) |
4.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).
- Fakel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Fakel has had a series of away games.
- Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Arsenal Tula?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Fakel?
Arsenal Tula has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
06.07.2024
Fakel
-
Arsenal Tula
2:1
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Ufa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yenisey | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Saratov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
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