Result
2:1
23/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 14
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/430) | 60% (121/201) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/430) | 60% (121/201) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (76/107) | 41% (39/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 35', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Spinelli C. ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Sornoza J. ⚽,
- 58', Mendez J. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 59', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 59', Hoyos M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 59', Orejuela C. ↓, Parrales J. ↑,
- 61', Gracia A. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Tapiero S. ⚽, Mina G. (A),
- 71', Caicedo E. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 73', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 74', Mercado P. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 90+5', Santamaria T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
61.1% | Draw
22.8% | Mushuc Runa
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-2%)
Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.47) |
4.08 ↓
(4.22) |
5.78 ↓
(6.31) |
7.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente del Valle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Mushuc Runa?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Independiente del Valle?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
05.10.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
18.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
06.08.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.02.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
02.11.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 30:15 | 15 | 32 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Orense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Vinotinto | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Delfin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 21 |
| 9 | U. Catolica | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Manta | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 23:28 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | Emelec | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Macara | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
