Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua
Result
1:3
19/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 17
  • Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.974.75
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
2432
Shots on target
214
Big Chances
010
Corner Kicks
164
Passes
85% (1050/1230)72% (354/494)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.974.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.145.80
Total shots
2432
Shots on target
214
Shots off target
128
Blocked Shots
1010
Shots inside the Box
1224
Shots outside the Box
128
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
010
Corner Kicks
164
Touches in opposition box
5852
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
46
Free Kicks
2830
Passes
85% (1050/1230)72% (354/494)
Long passes
75% (114/152)32% (38/118)
Passes in final third
74% (340/462)56% (58/104)
Crosses
13% (10/78)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.182.02
Throw-ins
3626
Fouls
3028
Tackles
48% (20/42)38% (12/32)
Duels won
11492
Clearances
22102
Interceptions
2034
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
80
xGOT faced
5.800.14
Goals prevented
-0.20-1.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Asue L. , Gao Tianyi (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Guga ,
  • 35', Yang Haoyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yang Haoyu , Xu Haoyang ,
  • 46', Gao Tianyi , Amadou I. ,
  • 51', Wang Gang 🟨,
  • 59', Asue L. , Liu Chengyu ,
  • 62', Yennaris N. 🟨,
  • 77', Cao Yongjing , Lin Liangming ,
  • 77', Wang Gang , Fang Hao ,
  • 77', Liu Chengyu , Yu Hanchao ,
  • 78', Serginho , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 78', Dawhan , Fan Shuangjie ,
  • 90', Wu Shaocong , Muhmet N. ,
  • 90', Chan Shinichi , Yang Zexiang ,
  • 90+5', Yu Hanchao 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 3, Yu Hanchao , Wu Xi (A),

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
43.1%
Draw
27.9%
Shanghai Shenhua
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 30.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 30% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
  • Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.49)
    3.38
    (3.1)
    3.19
    (2.97)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua?
  • Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
    • Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    22.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:1
    04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1
    13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 1:1
    19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua20143347:252245
    2Shanghai Port20135247:262144
    3Chengdu Rongcheng20134339:162343
    4Beijing Guoan20126244:251942
    5Shandong Taishan2094739:32731
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2086627:29-230
    7Zhejiang Professional2085742:34829
    8Dalian Yingbo2085721:26-529
    9Qingdao West Coast2069526:28-227
    10Yunnan Yukun2075831:37-626
    11Wuhan Three Towns2056926:36-1021
    12Henan Songshan Longmen20541132:36-419
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng20521325:46-2117
    14Meizhou Hakka20441226:44-1816
    15Qingdao Hainiu20351220:32-1214
    16Changchun Yatai20231516:36-209

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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