Result
14/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
23.7% | Draw
24.4% | Pärnu Vaprus
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(2.95) |
3.79 ↑
(3.75) |
1.78 ↓
(2.02) |
8.3%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3.
- Kalev has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pärnu Vaprus might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Pärnu Vaprus will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:17. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tallinna Kalev?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
13.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
19.01.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
03.11.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
01.09.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
28.06.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
0:1
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35:11 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Levadia | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | Kalju | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Narva | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Paide | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18:32 | -14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14:29 | -15 | 13 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12:48 | -36 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
Which TV channels are streaming of Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
