Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (59/73) | 78% (57/73) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 63% (24/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (23/73) | 21% (15/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 48% (12/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (72/98) | 73% (81/111) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (30/111) | 27% (26/98) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (102/209) | 51% (107/209) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 94% (16/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (18/34) |
Chances of winning
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
28.5% | Lorenzo Musetti
71.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.77) |
|
1.34 ↓
(1.37) |
4.7%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Musetti will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 47.1% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Musetti (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
26.08.2025
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
3:1
08.07.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
3:1
11.06.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
2:0
Latest results of Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (Q) | Zhang Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Khachanov K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Bu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Goffin D. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shang J. (WC) | Cazaux A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Mensik J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (6) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tien L. | Cerundolo F. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Mannarino A. (Q) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Musetti L. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (8) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sonego L. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. | Mensik J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Musetti L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (8) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Minaur A. (3) | Mensik J. (RET.) (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Musetti L. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
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