Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima
Result
0:1
18/10/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1222
Shots on Goal
07
Shots off Goal
1215
Free Kicks
1217
Corner Kicks
38
Offsides
01
Goalkeeper Saves
60
Fouls
1613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Barcos H. , Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
  • 65', Cuero J. , Fernandez C. ,
  • 65', Sanchez J. , Perez J. ,
  • 72', Romero A. , Marcos N. ,
  • 75', Neira C. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 81', Ojeda C. , Ruiz K. ,
  • 81', Serrano B. , Otazu M. ,
  • 90', Succar M. , Sabbag P. ,
  • 90', Cabellos C. , Fuentes A. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
17.2%
Draw
28.9%
Alianza Lima
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 28.6% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 28% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.31
    (4.17)
    3.23
    (3.31)
    1.75
    (1.94)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 0.
    • Cajamarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alianza Lima is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    03.05.2024 Alianza Lima - Cajamarca 1:0
    05.08.2023 Alianza Lima - Cajamarca 1:0
    05.03.2023 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 0:1
    28.08.2022 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 1:1
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1492330:121829
    2Alianza Atl1491423:121128
    3FBC Melgar1484224:15928
    4Alianza Lima1483316:10627
    5Sport Huancayo1482420:15526
    6Sporting Cristal1481525:19625
    7Cusco1473425:18724
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1572626:17923
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1446423:19418
    11Grau1346319:18118
    12Sport Boys1444621:23-216
    13Los Chankas1436518:22-415
    14Juan Pablo II1342716:20-414
    15Binacional1435616:24-814
    16Cajamarca1442814:31-1714
    17Ayacucho1423910:23-139
    18Comerciantes Unidos1315714:26-128
    19Alianza Huanuco1415812:26-148

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