Result
0:1
18/10/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
- 65', Cuero J. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 65', Sanchez J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 72', Romero A. ↓, Marcos N. ↑,
- 75', Neira C. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 81', Ojeda C. ↓, Ruiz K. ↑,
- 81', Serrano B. ↓, Otazu M. ↑,
- 90', Succar M. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
- 90', Cabellos C. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
17.2% | Draw
28.9% | Alianza Lima
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-4%)
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.31 ↑
(4.17) |
3.23 ↓
(3.31) |
1.75 ↓
(1.94) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 0.
- Cajamarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alianza Lima is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Lima?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
03.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.08.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.03.2023
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
28.08.2022
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | AD Tarma | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Grau | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Cajamarca | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 15 | Binacional | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Alianza Huanuco | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 World | Fanatiz |
