Louisville City vs North Carolina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer  USL League One Cup Louisville City - North Carolina
Result
1:0
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Cup
Louisville City - North Carolina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.97
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
75% (246/327)80% (298/374)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.20
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
710
Passes
75% (246/327)80% (298/374)
Long passes
44% (28/63)28% (17/61)
Passes in final third
68% (75/110)60% (65/108)
Crosses
20% (4/20)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.17
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
107
Tackles
80% (8/10)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4535
Clearances
2127
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.200.93
Goals prevented
0.20-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Wilson J. ,
  • 38', Serrano R. 🟨,
  • 40', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martin C. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 46', Conway E. , Al Qaq A. ,
  • 55', Morris J. , Dia A. ,
  • 55', Dayes B. , Totsch S. ,
  • 55', Lancaster C. , Goodrum P. ,
  • 61', Burner P. , Rafa Mentzingen ,
  • 69', Hodge T. , Malou J. ,
  • 75', Sommersall R. , Pedro Becker ,
  • 77', Perez E. , McFadden A. ,
  • 87', Davila T. , Davila E. ,
  • 90+2', Goodrum P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Louisville City
59.7%
Draw
23.2%
North Carolina
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 24.6% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 23.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Louisville City - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.63)
    3.92
    (3.7)
    5.32
    (4.63)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - North Carolina were as follows:
    20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1
    02.11.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 3:2
    31.08.2024 North Carolina - Louisville City 4:6
    08.06.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Which TV channels are streaming of Louisville City - North Carolina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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