Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
148
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Long passes
39% (24/62)25% (14/55)
Passes in final third
74% (129/174)67% (56/84)
Crosses
25% (8/32)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.15
Throw-ins
3221
Fouls
814
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (14/21)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
1135
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.010.18
Goals prevented
0.01-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Arai Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 46', Someno I. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 55', Saito K. , Yamami H. ,
  • 62', Tsunashima Y. , Suzuki K. ,
  • 63', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Maeda N. , Germain V. ,
  • 73', Hirakawa R. , Inami T. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. (Pen),
  • 79', Arai N. , Suga D. ,
  • 84', Higashi S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Germain V. , Araki H. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kawabe H. , Araki H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51.6%
Draw
28.7%
Tokyo Verdy
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.7% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.74)
    3.27
    (3.45)
    4.83
    (5.04)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1
    22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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