Criciúma vs Athletico Paranaense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense
11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Criciúma
39.8%
Draw
31%
Athletico Paranaense
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 28.7% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.7)
    2.97
    (3.25)
    3.25
    (2.45)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
    • Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Athletico PR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 2:1
    22.09.2024 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    13.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 3:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba21116422:14839
    2Goias20115426:17938
    3Novorizontino2098324:17735
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Cuiaba2094724:22231
    6Remo2079422:19330
    7Criciuma2085723:18529
    8Avai2078527:21629
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    12Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    13CRB2074922:21125
    14Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    15Atletico GO2059619:21-224
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda2056914:23-921
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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