Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera C Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 10
Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Moreno F. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Maimo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Anacaratti A. ,

Chances of winning


Puerto Nuevo
27.9%
Draw
29.5%
Mercedes
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 27% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercedes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercedes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.07)
    3.13
    (3)
    2.17
    (3.57)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mercedes will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
    • Recent performances by Puerto Nuevo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mercedes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Puerto Nuevo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Latest results of Mercedes
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    27.04.2025 Berazategui - Mercedes 3:1
    18.04.2025 Mercedes - Ituzaingó 1:0
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo20125324:111341
    2Central Cordoba20105531:171435
    3Berazategui19104527:151234
    4Justo Jose de Urquiza19104520:15534
    5Deportivo Espanol2077618:17128
    6Leandro N. Alem1983820:15527
    7Claypole2069520:18227
    8Mercedes20731018:24-624
    9Deportivo Muniz2058711:13-223
    10Lugano1965816:23-723
    11Def. de Cambaceres20631116:24-821
    12El Porvenir1955918:25-720
    13Puerto Nuevo19411413:35-2213


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros21137128:62246
    2Club Lujan21118227:111641
    3Estrella Del Sur2199321:15636
    4Sportivo Barracas2297626:19734
    5Argentino de Rosario2188522:19332
    6Juventud Unida S. M2187623:18531
    7General Lamadrid2167824:26-225
    8Atlas21651026:41-1523
    9Canuelas21410715:19-422
    10Deportivo Paraguayo22571015:26-1122
    11CSR Espanol21561025:24121
    12Victoriano A21561019:27-821
    13Yupanqui21471021:31-1019
    14Central Ballester21310817:27-1019

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation)

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