Real Sociedad vs Elche: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Elche
Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Real Sociedad - Elche - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
66.9%
Draw
21.8%
Elche
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 19.3% 9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 15.1% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Real Sociedad - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.34)
    4.4
    (4.91)
    8.5
    (9.73)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Elche?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 43 - 87.8%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 78.6%97%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Real Sociedad has the most likely position - 4 (44.83%), project points - 64, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of qualify for ucl (55%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Elche has the most likely position - 20 (93.32%), project points - 25, currently - 13, a very good chance of relegated (99%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 62, importance 43, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 5.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Ankle Injury) Fernandez C. (Yellow Cards) Merino M. (Red Card) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Elche: Alamo J. (Knee Injury) Cheikh P. (Red Card) Magallan L. (Thigh Injury) Milla P. (Yellow Cards) Roco E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elche: Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Chetauya J. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Elche were as follows:
    27.08.2022 Elche - Real Sociedad 0:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    16.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Roma 0:0
    12.03.2023 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 1:1
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    03.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Cádiz 0:0
    25.02.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0
    Latest results of Elche
    11.03.2023 Elche - Valladolid 1:1
    04.03.2023 Mallorca - Elche 0:1
    24.02.2023 Elche - Betis 2:3
    19.02.2023 Elche - Espanyol 0:1
    15.02.2023 Real Madrid - Elche 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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