ADT Tarma vs Comerciantes Unidos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
1:0
11/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.16
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
265
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (189/238)70% (171/244)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.910.61
Total shots
265
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
141
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
138
Passes
79% (189/238)70% (171/244)
Long passes
62% (33/53)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)49% (39/79)
Crosses
31% (5/16)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.18
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
813
Tackles
73% (11/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
3018
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.612.91
Goals prevented
0.611.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Rojas J. , Pinto O. ,
  • 38', Da Luz M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paredes G. , Lecaros A. ,
  • 61', Sen M. 🟨,
  • 61', Caytuiro F. 🟨,
  • 61', Rengifo H. 🟥,
  • 63', Da Luz M. , Perez A. ,
  • 63', Moyano A. , Robles A. ,
  • 70', Bersano F. (Pen),
  • 70', 1 - 0, Choi G. ,
  • 70', Mendez P. 🟨,
  • 72', Parodi J. , Sen M. ,
  • 79', Pinto O. 🟨,
  • 81', Mendez P. , Saavedra C. ,
  • 85', Garcia L. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Montenegro D. , Soto J. ,
  • 90+1', Paico K. , Pena K. ,
  • 90+5', Saavedra C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
68.3%
Draw
19.7%
Comerciantes Unidos
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 18.8% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 17.9% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.37)
    4.78
    (5)
    7.85
    (7.65)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma 0:0
    19.05.2024 ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos 2:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal752016:31317
    2Cusco65109:1816
    3U. de Deportes743011:4715
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    7FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    8Los Chankas53028:11-39
    9Cienciano62227:528
    10Alianza Huanuco62137:9-27
    11Juan Pablo II71426:8-27
    12AD Tarma62135:9-47
    13Alianza Atl61323:4-16
    14Binacional51223:5-25
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Grau61147:11-44
    17Ayacucho61145:9-44
    18Sport Boys71152:9-74
    19Cajamarca60334:8-43

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