Result
3:2 penalties
12/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 18:45, 1 - 0, Trofimov Y. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:27, 1 - 1, Suvorov A. (G),
- 14:24, 1 - 2, Kolesnikov S. (G), Suvorov A. (A), Agafonov M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:24, 2 - 2, Demidovich V. (G), Valitov D. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Valeyev T. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Demidovich V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Suvorov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kolesnikov S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Alexeyev Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Andreichenko V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
59.8% | Draw
20.3% | Toros Neftekamsk
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-1%)
Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.6) |
4.59 ↑
(4.2) |
4.7 ↓
(4.92) |
7.2%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:64. (average 2.6:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 2.4:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk were as follows:
25.08.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
25.12.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:2
22.11.2024
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
1:3
16.02.2024
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:1
12.09.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Toros Neftekamsk
5:4
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Krylia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 8 |
| 2 | Gornyak | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 8 |
| 3 | AKM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Buran Voronezh | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Almetyevsk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:7 | 6 |
| 8 | Dizel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Toros Neftekamsk | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12:11 | 6 |
| 10 | Kurgan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Zvezda Moscow | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 12 | CSK VVS | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 13 | HC Yugra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Perm | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Khimik | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 16 | Kristall Saratov | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 17 | HC Rostov | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 4 |
| 19 | Izhevsk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 20 | Ryazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 21 | Orsk | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:17 | 4 |
| 22 | Rubin Tyumen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 4 |
| 23 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 4 |
| 24 | Torpedo Gorky | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 25 | Tambov | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 26 | Olympia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 2 |
| 27 | HK Norilsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 2 |
| 28 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 29 | Chelny | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:25 | 2 |
| 30 | Bars | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 31 | Dyn. Altay | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 2 |
| 32 | Krasnoyarsk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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