Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (515/606) | 76% (238/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (515/606) | 76% (238/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (128/173) | 66% (92/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 48% (10/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Mae H. 🟨,
- 26', Fujio S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fujio S. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 46', Mochizuki H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
- 52', Kagawa S. 🟨,
- 54', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 54', Sakata R. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
- 66', Shibayama M. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
- 66', Nakajima M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
- 72', Shindo R. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
- 72', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 2, Dresevic I. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 87', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 90+2', Dresevic I. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
34.2% | Draw
29.9% | Machida Zelvia
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.48) |
3.17 ↓
(3.26) |
2.66 ↓
(2.83) |
6.1%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.
- Recent matches Cerezo Osaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Machida Zelvia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cerezo Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Cerezo Osaka?
Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
07.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
09.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:2
05.06.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
15.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 40 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 35 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 8 | Machida | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | Okayama | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Verdy | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 23 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:27 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Albirex Niigata | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 19 |
| 20 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
