Christopher OConnell vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Miami Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
1:2
19/03/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
107
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
65%61%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (46/74)74% (43/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (23/39)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/58)38% (28/74)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (19/37)41% (16/39)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)30% (3/10)
Winners
3826
Unforced Errors
5233
Net Points Won
60% (18/30)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
61% (69/113)65% (60/93)
Return Points Won
35% (33/93)39% (44/113)
Total Points Won
50% (102/206)50% (104/206)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Christopher OConnell
62.6%
Roberto Carballes Baena
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)

    2.53
    (2.34)
    6.1%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • OConnell is ranked ATP: 78. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53.
    • OConnell is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carballes Baena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • OConnell will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches OConnell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell 1:2
    09.05.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell O'Connell C. retired
    Latest results of Christopher OConnell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B.Fearnley J. (Q)1 : 2
    3Thompson J.Giron M.2 : 1
    4ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (28)
    5Fils A. (17)Bye
    6Diallo G. (LL)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    7Struff J-L.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    8ByeTiafoe F. (16)
    9Rune H. (11)Bye
    10Eubanks C. (WC)Opelka R. (PR)0 : 2
    11Arnaldi M.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeMachac T. (20)
    13Popyrin A. (25)Bye
    14Safiullin R.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Bautista-Agut R.Mensik J.1 : 2
    16ByeDraper J. (6)
    17Fritz T. (3)Bye
    18Sonego L.Navone M.2 : 0
    19Tirante T. A. (Q)Cobolli F.2 : 1
    20ByeShapovalov D. (27)
    21Walton A. (LL)Bye
    22Martinez P.Darderi L.0 : 2
    23Wong C. (WC)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    24ByeShelton B. (13)
    25De Minaur A. (10)Bye
    26Bu Y.Norrie C.2 : 0
    27Fonseca J.Tien L.2 : 1
    28ByeHumbert U. (19)
    29Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    30Gaston H. (LL)Nishioka Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    31Bergs Z.Borges N.2 : 0
    32ByeRublev A. (8)
    33Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    34Rinderknech A.Munar J.0 : 2
    35Monfils G.Marozsan F.2 : 1
    36ByeLehecka J. (26)
    37Korda S. (24)Bye
    38Spizzirri E. (WC)Harris B. (Q)2 : 1
    39Tseng C. H. (Q)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    40ByeTsitsipas S. (9)
    41Musetti L. (15)Bye
    42Seyboth Wild T.Halys Q.0 : 2
    43Schoolkate T. (Q)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (18)
    45Michelsen A. (32)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)Holt B. (Q)2 : 1
    47Hijikata R.Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Ruud C. (5)Bye
    50Kovacevic A.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    51Blockx A. (Q)Moutet C.0 : 2
    52ByeTabilo A. (30)
    53Cerundolo F. (23)Bye
    54Muller A.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    55Bublik A.Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByePaul T. (12)
    57Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    58Comesana F. (Q)Cina F. (WC)0 : 2
    59McDonald M. (Q)Kyrgios N. (PR)1 : 2
    60ByeKhachanov K. (22)
    61Nakashima B. (31)Bye
    62O'Connell C. (Q)Carballes Baena R.1 : 2
    63Vukic A.Goffin D.1 : 2
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)2 : 0
    3Fils A. (17)Diallo G. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Tiafoe F. (16)0 : 2
    5Rune H. (11)Opelka R.1 : 2
    6Arnaldi M.Machac T. (20)1 : 2
    7Popyrin A. (25)Safiullin R.1 : 2
    8Mensik J.Draper J. (6)2 : 0
    9Fritz T. (3)Sonego L.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Shapovalov D. (27)1 : 2
    11Walton A. (LL)Darderi L.2 : 0
    12Wong C.Shelton B. (13)2 : 1
    13De Minaur A. (10)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Fonseca J.Humbert U. (19)2 : 0
    15Berrettini M. (29)Gaston H.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Rublev A. (8)2 : 0
    17Medvedev D. (7)Munar J.0 : 2
    18Monfils G.Lehecka J. (26)2 : 1
    19Korda S. (24)Spizzirri E.2 : 0
    20Tseng C. H.Tsitsipas S. (9)1 : 2
    21Musetti L. (15)Halys Q.2 : 1
    22Schoolkate T.Auger-Aliassime F. (18)0 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (32)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    24Hijikata R.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Ruud C. (5)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    26Moutet C.Tabilo A. (30)1 : 2
    27Cerundolo F. (23)Muller A.2 : 0
    28Bublik A.Paul T. (12)1 : 2
    29Dimitrov G. (14)Cina F.2 : 0
    30Kyrgios N.Khachanov K. (22)0 : 2
    31Nakashima B. (31)Carballes Baena R.2 : 1
    32Goffin D.Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Thompson J.2 : 0
    2Fils A. (17)Tiafoe F. (16)2 : 1
    3Opelka R.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    4Safiullin R.Mensik J.0 : 2
    5Fritz T. (3)Shapovalov D. (27)2 : 0
    6Walton A.Wong C.2 : 1
    7De Minaur A. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Berrettini M. (29)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    9Munar J.Monfils G.1 : 2
    10Korda S. (24)Tsitsipas S. (9)2 : 0
    11Musetti L. (15)Auger-Aliassime F. (18)2 : 1
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    13Ruud C. (5)Tabilo A. (30)2 : 0
    14Cerundolo F. (23)Paul T. (12)2 : 0
    15Dimitrov G. (14)Khachanov K. (22)2 : 1
    16Nakashima B. (31)Goffin D.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Fils A. (17)1 : 2
    2Machac T. (20)Mensik J. (WO.)
    3Fritz T. (3)Walton A.2 : 0
    4De Minaur A. (10)Berrettini M. (29)0 : 2
    5Monfils G.Korda S. (24)1 : 2
    6Musetti L. (15)Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    7Ruud C. (5)Cerundolo F. (23)0 : 2
    8Dimitrov G. (14)Nakashima B. (31)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fils A. (17)Mensik J.0 : 2
    2Fritz T. (3)Berrettini M. (29)2 : 1
    3Korda S. (24)Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    4Cerundolo F. (23)Dimitrov G. (14)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mensik J.Fritz T. (3)2 : 1
    2Djokovic N. (4)Dimitrov G. (14)2 : 0

    Final
    1Mensik J.Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
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