Ventura County vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Austin II
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Austin II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.72
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Long passes
57% (27/47)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)64% (51/80)
Crosses
25% (5/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.54
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1012
Tackles
89% (8/9)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3929
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.720.30
Goals prevented
0.720.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Danciutiu V. , De Anda A. ,
  • 58', De Anda A. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Farkarlun B. , Bonachera R. (A),
  • 71', Vanney D. , Muller L. ,
  • 71', El-Jindaoui N. , Sullivan N. ,
  • 71', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez A. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 84', Musto T. , Arnold G. ,
  • 85', Torres E. , Avila C. ,
  • 86', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 86', Kocevski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Abarca D. 🟨,
  • 90', Kocevski J. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 90+4', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Farrar C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ventura County
44.9%
Draw
25.3%
Austin II
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ventura County - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.89)
    3.64
    (3.48)
    3.08
    (3.79)
    8.7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Ventura County have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ventura County has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ventura County is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Austin II were as follows:
    26.04.2024 Austin II - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II14521627:3020
    3Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    4New England Revolution II10430315:1218
    5Chicago Fire II10501420:1916
    6Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    7Cincinnati 21113079:189
    8Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Orlando City B12610519:2320
    3Huntsville11431323:1319
    4Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    5Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    6Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    7Carolina Core10223316:1513


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    4Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    5Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    7Real Monarchs9313218:1514


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    5Minnesota 29402316:1214
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Orlando City B12610519:2320
    4New York City II14521627:3020
    5Huntsville11431323:1319
    6Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    7New England Revolution II10430315:1218
    8Chicago Fire II10501420:1916
    9Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    10Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    11Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    12Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    13Carolina Core10223316:1513
    14Cincinnati 21113079:189
    15Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    8Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    9Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    11Minnesota 29402316:1214
    12Real Monarchs9313218:1514
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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