Result
1:1
25/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 38
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
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Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
21.1% | Draw
27.5% | Leyton Orient
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.56 ↓
(4.91) |
3.41 ↓
(3.52) |
1.82 ↑
(1.73) |
6.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 28.1% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (52.1%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a good chance of relegated (77%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (68.38%), project points - 88, currently - 73, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), a very good chance of promoted (96%), a good chance of win league (68%).
- This event has very small quality 8, big importance 75, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0.
- Recent matches Hartlepool is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Leyton Orient is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Leyton Orient could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Leyton Orient have a series of home games.
- In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Leyton Orient?
Hartlepool United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Hartlepool United?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient were as follows:
27.08.2022
Leyton Orient
-
Hartlepool United
4:2
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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