Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 2.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/446) | 83% (360/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/446) | 83% (360/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 74% (93/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Romulo Cardoso (A),
- 24', Diomande Y. 🟨,
- 45', Orban W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
- 58', Arnold M. 🟨,
- 64', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
- 70', Svanberg M. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
- 70', Wind J. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
- 79', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 79', Diomande Y. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
- 90', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
- 90', Baumgartner C. (Pen),
- 90+1', Vini Souza ↓, Majer L. ↑,
- 90+1', Fischer K. ↓, Zehnter A. ↑,
- 90+3', Bakayoko J. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
- 90+3', Baumgartner C. ↓, Werner T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg
32.2% | Draw
25.7% | RB Leipzig
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.64) |
3.92 ↑
(3.65) |
2.32 ↓
(2.52) |
0.1%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 43.1% – 81.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
- Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J.
(Groin Injury)
Paredes K.
(Foot Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Skov Olsen A.
(Injury)
Vavro D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M.
(Knee Injury)
Haidara A.
(Knee Injury)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nedeljkovic K.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against RB Leipzig?
Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Wolfsburg?
RB Leipzig has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
11.04.2025
Wolfsburg
-
RB Leipzig
2:3
26.02.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
30.11.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
1:5
13.04.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
3:0
25.11.2023
Wolfsburg
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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