Tacoma Defiance vs The Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - The Town
Result
5:4 penalties
03/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - The Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.481.92
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (381/463)86% (379/442)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.481.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.021.88
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
4225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
82% (381/463)86% (379/442)
Long passes
56% (32/57)55% (39/71)
Passes in final third
74% (91/123)73% (75/103)
Crosses
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.072.10
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1413
Tackles
90% (19/21)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.883.02
Goals prevented
-1.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kingston P. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. , Adimabua N. (A),
  • 30', Spivey K. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Brunell S. , Kingston P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Baker C. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 46', Leyva D. , Tsukanome Y. ,
  • 53', 2 - 2, De Rosario O. (Own goal),
  • 58', 3 - 2, Tsukanome Y. , Minoungou G. (A), Baker-Whiting R. (A2)
  • 62', Spivey K. , Mendoza E. ,
  • 62', Baker-Whiting R. , Diaw B. ,
  • 62', Cowell C. , Walwyn-Bent K. ,
  • 62', Minoungou G. , Hassan O. ,
  • 71', Eisner W. 🟨,
  • 72', De Rosario O. (Pen),
  • 73', Mbumba A. , Baptista D. ,
  • 73', Adimabua N. , Donnery J. ,
  • 78', De Rosario O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Eisner W. , Mendoza E. (A),
  • 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 4, Donnery J. , Baptista D. (A), Rodriguez M. (A2)
  • 90+6', 4 - 4, Kingston P. , Tsukanome Y. (A), Gaffney C. (A2)
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Kingston P. (Pen),
  • 1, Donnery J. (Pen),
  • 2, Gomez S. (Pen),
  • 2, Medina C. (Pen),
  • 3, Yamada K. (Pen),
  • 3, Eisner W. (Pen),
  • 4, Gaffney C. (Pen),
  • 4, Baptista D. (Pen),
  • 5, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
54.4%
Draw
22%
The Town
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 22.7% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 23.1% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.
  • The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tacoma Defiance - The Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.02)
    4.17
    (4.02)
    3.88
    (2.84)
    9.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - The Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The Town will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
    • In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • The Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, The Town has had a series of away games.
    • Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - The Town were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1
    25.08.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    11.06.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    25.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of The Town
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    7Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    8Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    9Town FC13522428:1821
    10Austin FC II14433413:1521
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

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