Umm-Salal vs Al-Sailiya: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Qatar QSL Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : QSL - Round 5
Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.092.42
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
71% (224/316)79% (300/378)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.092.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.861.31
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
511
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1437
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
71% (224/316)79% (300/378)
Long passes
27% (17/62)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
54% (43/79)70% (73/105)
Crosses
15% (2/13)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.94
Throw-ins
2424
Fouls
1417
Tackles
56% (14/25)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
3520
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.311.86
Goals prevented
0.31-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Yahya O. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Tannane O. (Pen),
  • 45+4', Udosen E. 🟨,
  • 45+6', van der Kaap K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Mahmoud A. 🟨,
  • 52', Eissa M. 🟨,
  • 56', Eissa M. , Ali ,
  • 56', Taabouni M. , Benyettou M. ,
  • 71', Nani M. 🟨,
  • 72', Afif A. , Hazaa A. ,
  • 72', Yahya O. , Jaad M. ,
  • 72', Snana Y. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 73', Dayo I. 🟨,
  • 75', Kouassi J. E. , Suhail R. ,
  • 76', Mansour K. , El Sayed A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Suhail R. , Cristo (A),
  • 81', Hadeb J. 🟨,
  • 84', Fayez A. , Saad K. ,
  • 84', Aholou J. , Al Ahrak N. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Ali ,
  • 90+5', Hazaa A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Umm-Salal
40.6%
Draw
26.3%
Al-Sailiya
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 23.9% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 20.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umm-Salal's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sailiya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.85)
    3.55
    (3.87)
    2.82
    (3.53)
    7.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 1.
    • In recent matches, Umm-Salal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Sailiya is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Umm-Salal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya were as follows:
    13.02.2023 Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal 1:1
    14.10.2022 Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya 1:1
    24.08.2022 Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya 1:0
    Latest results of Umm-Salal
    12.09.2025 Al Duhail - Umm-Salal 4:2
    03.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal 1:3
    29.08.2025 Al-Arabi Doha - Umm-Salal 3:2
    23.08.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Shahania 2:0
    15.08.2025 Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal 4:2
    Latest results of Al-Sailiya
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    03.09.2025 Al-Shahania - Al-Sailiya 1:2
    30.08.2025 Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal 1:2
    21.08.2025 Qatar SC - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    14.08.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Sailiya 3:1
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamal541011:5613
    2Qatar SC54109:3613
    3Al Rayyan531110:6410
    4Al-Gharafa53118:5310
    5Al Wakra52219:908
    6Al-Duhail521213:677
    7Al-Sadd52128:627
    8Umm-Salal520310:12-26
    9Al-Shahaniya51132:5-34
    10Al Arabi51139:17-84
    11Al Ahli Doha51045:12-73
    12Al Sailiya50053:11-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
    qatarQatarAl Kass Two, Shoof
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