Palmeiras vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle
Result
2:1
15/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.47
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
106
Free Kicks
1220
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
52
Throw-ins
2319
Goalkeeper Saves
40
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
02
Attacks
10394
Dangerous Attacks
3327

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Rios R. ,
  • 44', Landazuri A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ibarra R. , Diaz L. ,
  • 46', Arroyo K. , Lerma Soliz J. A. ,
  • 61', Endrick , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Diaz L. , Schunke R. (A),
  • 70', Estevao , Mayke ,
  • 70', Flaco Lopez , Rony ,
  • 77', Hoyos M. , Bolanos A. ,
  • 77', Caicedo B. , Medina Y. ,
  • 82', Rios R. , Romulo ,
  • 82', Lazaro , Luan ,

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
69.9%
Draw
19.2%
Independiente del Valle
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 22.5% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 21.6% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.4)
    4.89
    (4.1)
    8.72
    (8)
    6.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    24.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Palmeiras 2:3
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilESPN
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