Result
11/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
The New Saints
63.3% | Draw
21.7% | Pen-y-Bont
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
4.35 ↑
(4.13) |
6.39 ↑
(5.51) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 3.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Pen-y-Bont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, TNS is the team to beat.
- We predict that TNS will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TNS won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:19. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, TNS won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Pen-y-Bont?
The New Saints has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against The New Saints?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
16.08.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
The New Saints
0:2
29.03.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
The New Saints
1:0
08.02.2025
The New Saints
-
Pen-y-Bont
4:0
23.11.2024
The New Saints
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
20.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
The New Saints
2:1
Latest results of The New Saints
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 33:8 | 25 | 29 |
| 2 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Bala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 15 |
| 7 | Barry | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Flint | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:33 | -26 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
