Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (132/213) | 79% (326/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (132/213) | 79% (326/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 67% (39/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (43/80) | 72% (99/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 15% (6/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 63 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Sdaigui Z. ⚽,
- 27', Kluskins G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leidsman K. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 46', Diaw M. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 51', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 58', Pincuks N. 🟨,
- 63', Babic A. 🟨,
- 72', Simic M. ↓, Vientiess O. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Rascevskis O. ⚽,
- 76', Dobrecovs D. 🟨,
- 81', Lausic M. 🟨,
- 81', Petkovic D. 🟨,
- 82', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 82', Gueye D. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 86', Gaucis R. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 90', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Dzerins R. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+5', Traore A. 🟥,
- 90+9', Samba T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
18.2% | Draw
23.2% | Liepāja
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liepāja's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Grobiņa - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.05 ↑
(3.9) |
3.97 ↑
(3.75) |
1.57 ↓
(1.7) |
8.8%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2.
- Recent form of Grobiņa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Liepāja is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Liepāja?
Grobiņa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Grobiņa?
Liepāja has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Liepāja were as follows:
26.10.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
1:3
03.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
0:1
29.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
3:0
18.04.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
3:2
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | RFS | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Auda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Grobina | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Metta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 12 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Grobiņa - Liepāja?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
