Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.90
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
75% (180/241)87% (440/508)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.611.08
Total shots
815
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
26
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
618
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
97
Passes
75% (180/241)87% (440/508)
Long passes
42% (24/57)62% (33/53)
Passes in final third
44% (28/64)78% (115/148)
Crosses
14% (1/7)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.24
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
79
Tackles
64% (7/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3140
Clearances
3010
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.081.61
Goals prevented
0.08-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', Valencia S. 🟨,
  • 13', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Aristizabal E. (Pen),
  • 17', Garcia J. , Rojas T. ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Pajaro R. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ricaurte A. , Amaya A. ,
  • 46', Balanta J. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 53', Valencia S. 🟥,
  • 54', Tamayo K. 🟨,
  • 57', Florez K. , Cuero S. ,
  • 58', Oliveros S. 🟨,
  • 59', Beltran E. , Palacios L. ,
  • 62', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
  • 70', Gomez P. , Zapata Ramirez J. A. ,
  • 77', Parra J. 🟨,
  • 77', Aristizabal E. , Martinez J. ,
  • 83', Mosquera C. , Cabezas E. ,
  • 87', Rojas T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
41.6%
Draw
31.8%
Once Caldas
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 33.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 33.7% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.55)
    2.95
    (2.82)
    3.53
    (3.29)
    6.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Once Caldas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1
    01.11.2024 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2
    25.04.2024 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 0:1
    13.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas 2:0
    09.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas 2:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    3Fortaleza1366119:13624
    4Atl. Nacional1365222:15723
    5Junior1264224:16822
    6Deportes Tolima1362516:12420
    7Alianza1354416:16019
    8Llaneros1353511:13-218
    9Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    10Santa Fe1245312:11117
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1336412:13-115
    13Millonarios1342714:19-514
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16U. Magdalena1333714:22-812
    17Aguilas1125411:15-411
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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