Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils
Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 25
Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.62
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
76% (252/330)83% (367/442)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.99
Total shots
718
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1739
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
76% (252/330)83% (367/442)
Long passes
39% (21/54)75% (54/72)
Passes in final third
51% (35/68)70% (107/152)
Crosses
22% (2/9)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.21
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1812
Tackles
67% (14/21)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6077
Clearances
4024
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.990.82
Goals prevented
0.99-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Fofana W. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Konate F. P. , Fofana W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sitjakovs R. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 46', Maslovs R. , Sprukts E. ,
  • 49', Cucurs D. 🟨,
  • 58', Tihonovics M. 🟨,
  • 64', Minins J. 🟨,
  • 68', Cucurs D. , Skrebels R. ,
  • 74', Glaudans A. , Marchuk A. ,
  • 74', Sula D. , Bombans G. ,
  • 77', Fofana W. , Diallo B. ,
  • 78', Konate F. P. , Murakami S. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Nakamura R. (Pen),
  • 84', Tihonovics M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bombans G. , Zants T. ,

Chances of winning


Super Nova
34.2%
Draw
26.5%
BFC Daugavpils
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 24% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 24.3% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.3)
    3.46
    (3.75)
    2.34
    (2.45)
    9%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 1.
    • In recent matches, Super Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Daugavpils is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils 4:1
    15.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova 1:1
    23.09.2023 Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils 0:1
    05.07.2023 BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova 2:0
    14.05.2023 Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils 0:4
    Latest results of Super Nova
    26.07.2025 Super Nova - Grobiņa 0:0
    20.07.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 1:0
    12.07.2025 JDFS Alberts - Super Nova 1:3
    06.07.2025 Super Nova - Tukums 2000 1:0
    01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC26214161:174467
    2RFS26211470:254564
    3FK Liepaja26135844:38644
    4Auda261141134:30437
    5BFC Daugavpils26971038:45-734
    6Jelgava26771223:31-828
    7Tukums 200026661428:48-2024
    8Super Nova264111128:37-923
    9Metta26561523:52-2921
    10Grobina26551623:49-2620

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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