Result
4:3 penalties
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Ainsalu M. ⚽,
- 40', Tambedou B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro (Pen),
- 55', Nikolajev A. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
- 55', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 60', Peetson R. ↓, Lepistu B. ↑,
- 60', Tambedou B. ↓, Gero A. ↑,
- 66', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
- 70', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Kask K. ⚽,
- 72', Ani O. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 2, Jabir I. ⚽,
- 83', Liivak F. 🟨,
- 83', Otoo E. ↓, Tur E. ↑,
- 83', Liivak F. ↓, Musaba R. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Ivanov N. (Pen),
- 89', 3 - 3, Lepistu B. ⚽,
- 90+2', Alexandre ↓, Mavretic T. ↑,
- 90+7', Mashchenko D. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Kask K. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 102', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
- 102', Roosnupp M. 🟨,
- 102', Roosnupp M. ↓, Zakarlyuka A. ↑,
- 106', Podholjuzin M. ↓, Liit S. ↑,
- 114', Schjonning-Larsen M. 🟨,
- 118', Korre U. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Tarassenkov D. (Pen),
- 1, Ainsalu M. (Pen),
- 2, Orlov M. (Pen),
- 2, Tur E. (Pen),
- 3, Siht R. (Pen),
- 3, Zakarlyuka A. (Pen),
- 4, Tambedou M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
26.6% | Draw
25.9% | Levadia Tallinn
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.91) |
3.54 ↑
(3.45) |
1.93 ↓
(2.18) |
9.3%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Played on the field of the visiting team.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 1.
- Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Levadia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Levadia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Levadia Tallinn?
Nõmme Kalju has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Levadia Tallinn won against Nõmme Kalju?
Levadia Tallinn has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn were as follows:
04.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Levadia Tallinn
2:0
30.03.2025
Levadia Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:1
22.02.2025
Levadia Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
3:2
27.10.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Levadia Tallinn
0:4
25.08.2024
Levadia Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
3:0
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Tamper | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Rumori Calcio | |
| 3 | Flora U19 | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Vastseliina Tannem | |
| 5 | Kohvile | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Helm | |
| 7 | Flora U18 | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Flora U21 | |
| 9 | Tabasalu Ulasabat | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Eston Villa | |
| 11 | Parnu JK Vaprus | Bye | |
| 12 | Olympic Tallinn | Tulevik | |
| 13 | Tartu Welco | Kuusalu Kalev | |
| 14 | Bye | Tartu Helios | |
| 15 | Tallinna FC Zapoos | Bye | |
| 16 | Hell Hunt | Lootos | |
| 17 | Jarva-Jaani | Bye | |
| 18 | Keila JK | Kallaste United | |
| 19 | Tallinna Kalev III | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | EstHam United | |
| 21 | Tallinna Wolves | Soccernet | |
| 22 | Bye | Raasiku Joker | |
| 23 | Viimsi Lovid | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Tallinna Smsraha | |
| 25 | Tartu Welco 2 | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Narva | |
| 27 | Tartu Kalev | Elva | |
| 28 | Bye | Legion | |
| 29 | Maardu Aliens | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | JK Poseidon | |
| 31 | Arukula Vigri | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Kristiine | |
| 33 | Harju JK Laagri | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | TransferWise | |
| 35 | Viimsi JK | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | TalTech | |
| 37 | Nomme Utd | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Harju JK Laagri III | |
| 39 | Hiiumaa | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Tallinna Kalev | |
| 41 | Raplamaa | Saku Sporting | |
| 42 | Marjamaa Kompanii | Kubik | 4 : 0 |
| 43 | Johvi Phoenix | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Kose II | |
| 45 | Kose | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Kuressaare | |
| 47 | Tammeka | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Tabasalu | |
| 49 | FC Tallinn | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Zealot Sporting | |
| 51 | Lootus JK Jarve | Bye | |
| 52 | JK Arsenal | Rae Spordikool | |
| 53 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | Vana Hea Puur | |
| 54 | Haapsalu | Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond | |
| 55 | Saue Laagri | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Maksatransport | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Tamper | Rumori Calcio | |
| 2 | Flora U19 | Vastseliina Tannem | |
| 3 | Kohvile | Helm | |
| 4 | Flora U18 | Flora U21 | |
| 5 | Tabasalu Ulasabat | Eston Villa | |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | Tartu Helios | |
| 8 | Tallinna FC Zapoos | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | Jarva-Jaani | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev III | EstHam United | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | Raasiku Joker | |
| 12 | Viimsi Lovid | Tallinna Smsraha | |
| 13 | Tartu Welco 2 | Narva | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | Legion | |
| 15 | Maardu Aliens | JK Poseidon | |
| 16 | Arukula Vigri | Kristiine | |
| 17 | Harju JK Laagri | TransferWise | |
| 18 | Viimsi JK | TalTech | |
| 19 | Nomme Utd | Harju JK Laagri III | |
| 20 | Hiiumaa | Tallinna Kalev | |
| 21 | TBD #41 | Marjamaa Kompanii | |
| 22 | Johvi Phoenix | Kose II | |
| 23 | Kose | Kuressaare | |
| 24 | Tammeka | Tabasalu | |
| 25 | FC Tallinn | Zealot Sporting | |
| 26 | Lootus JK Jarve | TBD #52 | |
| 27 | TBD #53 | TBD #54 | |
| 28 | Saue Laagri | Maksatransport | |
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