Waterford United vs Shamrock Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers
Result
1:2
22/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 30
Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.40
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (304/390)81% (394/488)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.912.07
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
78% (304/390)81% (394/488)
Long passes
49% (31/63)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
64% (90/141)59% (64/108)
Crosses
5% (1/20)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.02
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1210
Tackles
92% (11/12)100% (10/10)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
2621
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.070.91
Goals prevented
0.07-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Radkowski K. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Honohan J. , Cleary D. (A),
  • 39', Olayinka J. 🟨,
  • 40', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Glenfield S. 🟨,
  • 57', Coyle T. , Lonergan T. ,
  • 68', Miles J. 🟨,
  • 70', Mandroiu D. , Watts D. ,
  • 71', McGovern J. , Burke G. ,
  • 71', McEneff A. , Gaffney R. ,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Healy M. , Matthews A. (A),
  • 75', Dempsey J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dempsey J. , White K. ,
  • 87', Honohan J. , Kavanagh S. ,
  • 87', Healy M. , O'Neill G. ,
  • 88', Miles J. , Faal M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Lonergan T. ,

Chances of winning


Waterford United
19.3%
Draw
25.4%
Shamrock Rovers
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 24.3% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 23.5% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Waterford United aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.91
    (4.71)
    3.69
    (3.88)
    1.72
    (1.69)
    5.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shamrock will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.
    • Waterford has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shamrock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Waterford has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Malley C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 15:48. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.7:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
    27.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United 1:0
    16.05.2025 Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers 1:3
    11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United 2:0
    01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United 2:1
    02.08.2024 Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers 1:2
    Latest results of Waterford United
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers31189453:272663
    2Derry City33159947:371054
    3Bohemians321551242:33950
    4Drogheda331114835:33247
    5St. Patricks3212101040:31946
    6Shelbourne311113739:33646
    7Sligo Rovers331071638:49-1137
    8Waterford331141838:56-1837
    9Galway328101433:41-834
    10Cork City324111731:56-2523

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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