Worcester Red Sox vs Rochester Red Wings: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball IL Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings
Result
5:4
08/06/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : IL - First stage
Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
44
Errors
11

Chances of winning


Worcester Red Sox
56.4%
Rochester Red Wings
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Worcester Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Rochester Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester Red Sox than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Red Wings than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.55)

    2.14
    (2.37)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 10.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 5.
    • Worcester is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rochester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Worcester has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Rochester has had a series of away games.
    • Worcester might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 149:80. (average 7.5:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Worcester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:33. (average 6.8:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 10:4
    06.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 6:3
    05.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 9:6
    03.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 6:5
    20.04.2025 Rochester Red Wings - Worcester Red Sox 0:7
    IL Table
    First stage
    PlWLPCT
    1Lehigh Valley IronPigs694623420:3220.667
    2Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp694326303:2770.623
    3Nashville Sounds674027326:2510.597
    4Indianapolis Indians673928289:2980.582
    5Memphis Redbirds673829379:3420.567
    6Durham Bulls693930333:2680.565
    7Iowa Cubs683731359:3030.544
    8Worcester683731359:3180.544
    9Scranton/WB663531363:3070.530
    10Toledo Mud Hens693534317:3160.507
    11Charlotte Knights693336381:3940.478
    12St. Paul663135306:3550.470
    13Omaha Storm Chasers683137356:3640.456
    14Columbus Clippers663036318:3160.455
    15Louisville Bats692940339:3680.420
    16Syracuse Mets692940333:3760.420
    17Buffalo Bisons672839300:3640.418
    18Norfolk Tides672740346:3680.403
    19Gwinnett Stripers692643239:3180.377
    20Rochester Red Wings672245292:4390.328

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