Result
1:2
30/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 74% (45/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 55% (17/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 40% (23/57) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 33% (14/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 67% (62/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (30/92) | 37% (37/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (92/191) | 52% (99/191) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Ludmilla Samsonova
48.5% | Naomi Osaka
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.9) |
|
1.85 ↓
(1.9) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Samsonova is ranked WTA: 16. Osaka is ranked WTA: 49.
- Samsonova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ludmilla Samsonova won against Naomi Osaka?
Ludmilla Samsonova has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naomi Osaka won against Ludmilla Samsonova?
Naomi Osaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka were as follows:
17.06.2025
Naomi Osaka
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
1:2
20.03.2025
Naomi Osaka
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
2:0
25.04.2024
Naomi Osaka
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
1:2
09.03.2024
Ludmilla Samsonova
-
Naomi Osaka
0:2
Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
Latest results of Naomi Osaka
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Collins D. | Tomova V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bucsa C. (Q) | Kudermetova V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Danilovic O. (29) | |
| 5 | Kenin S. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Birrell K. | Mboko V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Uchijima M. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Shnaider D. (14) | |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhu L. | Gracheva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lamens S. | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (18) | |
| 13 | Krueger A. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Chirico L. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Volynets K. (Q) | Ito A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Andreescu B. (WC) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Joint M. | Fernandez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Kessler M. (28) | |
| 21 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Vondrousova M. | Eala A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Dolehide C. | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (15) | |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Osuigwe W. (Q) | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cristian J. | Stakusic M. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Noskova L. (20) | |
| 29 | Yastremska D. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Pera B. (Q) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Jacquemot E. (Q) | Marino R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Navarro E. (8) | |
| 33 | Anisimova A. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Cirstea S. | Sun L. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Ruse G. | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Stearns P. (32) | |
| 37 | Mertens E. (19) | Bye | |
| 38 | Li A. | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Rakhimova K. (Q) | Cross K. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Svitolina E. (10) | |
| 41 | Samsonova L. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Arseneault A. (Q) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Boulter K. | Zarazua R. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (22) | |
| 45 | Linette M. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Tomljanovic A. | Sevastova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Sakkari M. | Branstine C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Maria T. | Siegemund L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Parks A. | McNally C. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sramkova R. (31) | |
| 53 | Bencic B. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Bouchard E. (WC) | Arango E. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Potapova A. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 57 | Tauson C. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Mandlik E. (WC) | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | Wang Y. (Q) | Starodubtseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Frech M. (21) | |
| 61 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Lys E. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Putintseva Y. | Guo H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Collins D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. | Danilovic O. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kenin S. (23) | Mboko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bouzkova M. | Shnaider D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Zhu L. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Lamens S. | Haddad Maia B. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Krueger A. (26) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ito A. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (WO.) (4) | Andreescu B. | |
| 10 | Joint M. | Kessler M. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Vondrousova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Blinkova A. | Kasatkina D. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (9) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cristian J. | Noskova L. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Yastremska D. (30) | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Marino R. | Navarro E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Anisimova A. (5) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Raducanu E. | Stearns P. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Mertens E. (19) | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Rakhimova K. | Svitolina E. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Samsonova L. (13) | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Zarazua R. | Ostapenko J. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Linette M. (25) | Sevastova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Sakkari M. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (6) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | McNally C. | Sramkova R. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Bencic B. (17) | Bouchard E. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Ruzic A. | Muchova K. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Tauson C. (16) | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Starodubtseva Y. | Frech M. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guo H. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mboko V. | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zhu L. | Lamens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Ito A. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (4) | Kessler M. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Kasatkina D. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (9) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Yastremska D. (30) | Navarro E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Anisimova A. (5) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kalinskaya A. | Svitolina E. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Osaka N. | Ostapenko J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sevastova A. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Keys M. (6) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Bencic B. (17) | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Tauson C. (16) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Lys E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Mboko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhu L. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kessler M. (28) | Kostyuk M. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. (9) | Yastremska D. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Anisimova A. (5) | Svitolina E. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Osaka N. | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Keys M. (6) | Muchova K. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Tauson C. (16) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mboko V. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (RET.) (24) | Rybakina E. (9) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Svitolina E. (10) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Keys M. (6) | Tauson C. (16) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mboko V. | Rybakina E. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Tauson C. (16) | 2 : 0 |
Final
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